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The Virginia gubernatorial election is giving political pundits plenty to speculate over as the race heats up. The race is shaping up to be the most competitive of the year and could set the pace for the 2020 midterms. Experts discuss recent polling in the race, how Virginia has been a bellwether state in the past and how it might impact the race.

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In 2016, the polling errors that inaccurately predicted a win for Hillary Clinton were dismissed as an anomaly. However, in 2020 the Biden landslide predicted was not forthcoming. Why were the predictions so wrong? A look at the issues and where the polling industry can go from here.  

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Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey has narrowed the polling gap with Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy III ahead of the Sept. 1 Democratic primary. But he’s still in serious trouble. Markey has won endorsements from the stars of the party’s progressive wing, such as New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who cut a late-July ad for him. The 73-year-old incumbent served 18 terms in the House before moving up to the Senate seven years ago. Kennedy, who turns 40 in October, is in his fourth House term.

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Will the country be able to have in-person voting for the November presidential election because of the coronavirus? Sen. Kamala Harris has introduced a bill called the “Vote Safe Act” that would expand voting options and improve the safety and accessibility of polling places. Some politicians do not support the bill and say there could be voter fraud. Ultimately, the question of how people will vote, whether they show up in-person or send their ballot in the mail, will be up to the individual states.  

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